Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Do the Math: UAAP Edition Version 3.0

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Norman Black
With Ateneo coach Norman Black's ill-advise entry to complain not issued a
technical foul as a solid ground, there's a possibility that the Ateneo-UST game
will be replayed, opening a chance for the Tigers to finish first.
Thanks to a comment from a concerned citizen, I made a third version of the computations regarding the wild Final 4 race. This time around, we'll take into consideration the scenario in which the UAAP Board overturns the initial ruling of Commissioner Ato Badolato to uphold Ateneo's 68-66 victory and orders a replay of the match that would be won by UST. If the board stands by Kume's side, we're gonna refer to OUR previous post (shout-outs to those who helped me in correcting my previous computations), but if in case the board orders a rematch and UST wins that game against Ateneo and (I hope I get this right this time)...

1. If UST (vs. UE), La Salle (vs. Adamson) and FEU (vs. NU) win, there will be a tie for 1st place between Ateneo and UST. With the quotient system favoring UST, the Tigers will be first and will battle La Salle in the Final 4. Ateneo will face FEU in the other semifinal clash.

2. If UST, Adamson, and FEU win, it's still Ateneo vs. FEU in the Final 4, but La Salle and NU collide in the battle for 4th with the winner facing UST next.

3. If UST, Adamson, and NU win, the Growling Tigers will finish at number 1. NU and FEU will be tied for 3rd with 9-5 records. However, the Bulldogs will finish third because of superior head-to-head quotient over the Tamaraws. So it's UST vs. FEU in one series and Ateneo vs. NU in the other.

4. If UST, La Salle, and NU win, UST will be first and Ateneo will be second, but a three-way tie for 3rd happens. NU, with the best quotient among them, La Salle and FEU, will battle Ateneo, while the other two engage in a playoff for 4th.

5. If UE, La Salle, and NU win, Ateneo will be first and UST falls to second. It's UST vs. NU in one Final 4 series, while it's Ateneo versus the winner of the FEU-La Salle wildcard game.

6. If UE, La Salle, and FEU win, it's Ateneo vs. La Salle in the UAAP Clasico Final 4, while it's FEU vs. UST in the other series.

7. If UE, Adamson, and FEU win, it's Ateneo vs. La Salle-NU winner in one semis and it's FEU vs. UST on the other.

8. If UE, Adamson, and NU win, it's Ateneo vs. FEU in one semis series and it's UST vs. NU on the other.

Forecast: Scenario 4!

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